Chances Of Us Recession In 2024 By Year. Now sees a 35% chance that the us economy tips into a recession by the end of this year, up from 25% as of the start of last month. Us recession probability is at 55.83%, compared to 51.82% last month and 67.31% last year.

Economy has a 64% chance of entering a recession this year. Jittery investors have overplayed the threat of a us recession, economists say, but years of bumper growth are.